math probability question for seven American nights

Marc Aramini · 07 Sep 2014, 12:34 · from 2014-September.txt.gz

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From: marcaramini at gmail.com (Marc Aramini)
Date: Sun, 7 Sep 2014 05:34:02 -0700
Subject: (urth)  math probability question for seven American nights
Message-ID: <CAF1072wp4W1u7KmwZpc=u4x7NtHz3136ZdKQbarnnVaKpxCw+w at mail.gmail.com>

I had a quick question but trying to articulate it to look it up
independently is hard.

Is there a statistically most probable day for Nadan to eat the special one
of the six eggs on any given day given that the first day is 1/6 and then
from there the probability that the egg is there begins to be something
like 1/5  on the next day ( but the chance that it isn't there should be
factored in somehow, but I wasn't sure if it was 1/5 - 1/6 ... Then
1/4-1/5-1/6 etc. ) Or is the system set up in such a way that the chance of
getting the egg is always 1/6 regardless on any given morning assuming no
eggs are stolen or disappear?
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